← Wild Magic Store - Grand Archive Brunei Regional Tournament - Abyssal Heaven Season
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Wild Magic Store - Grand Archive Brunei Regional Tournament - Abyssal Heaven Season
decks
6
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
34
21-13-0
overall winrate
61.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.2%
avg ELO +5.8 per match
expected value
52.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1191
· median 1203
· range 1077–1254
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1014
Q1 1153
Q3 1278
1610
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 19.0% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 55.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 9 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 66.5% | +7.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.6% | -16.7 |
| Fire Exia | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.5% | +15.8 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.2% | +16.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diao Chan | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Wind Kongming | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +12.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 5 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Stifling Trap, Fairy Whispers, Diablerie. Losers more often ran: Winds of Destiny, Censer of Restful Peace, Innervate Agility.
Stifling Trap
Winning decks ran 3.6
copies on average,
losing decks 2.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 1.
Fairy Whispers
Winning decks ran 4.0
copies on average,
losing decks 2.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 1.
Diablerie
Winning decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Displace
Winning decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Ravaging Tempest
Winning decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Slimeshield
Winning decks ran 2.4
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Winds of Destiny
Losing decks ran 2.8
copies on average,
winning decks 1.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Censer of Restful Peace
Losing decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
winning decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Innervate Agility
Losing decks ran 3.0
copies on average,
winning decks 2.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Reclaim
Losing decks ran 2.0
copies on average,
winning decks 0.8.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Grand Crusader's Ring
Losing decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Verdigris Decree
Losing decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
winning decks 0.8.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Show all 53 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 33 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifling Trap | +0.80 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.80 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |
| Diablerie | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ravaging Tempest | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -0.60 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
| Reclaim | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Advent of the Shenju | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fated Keepsake | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Byakko's Command | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Fatestone of Revelations | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Luxera's Map | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Felicitous Flock | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lumen Borealis | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Foraging Fox | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Idle Fatestone | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Heaven | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Craggy Fatestone | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ma Chao, Lupine Huntress | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Art of War | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 |